BTC$77,213▼ 0.39%
ETH$2,116▼ 0.78%
SOL$85.65▲ 0.78%
HYPE$57.73▲ 15.29%
XRP$1.36▼ 0.53%
BNB$649.20▲ 0.73%
DOGE$0.1045▲ 0.50%
AVAX$9.31▲ 0.70%
LINK$9.58▼ 0.12%
TAO$278.80▲ 5.59%
ZEC$661.59▲ 13.74%
NEAR$1.76▲ 7.73%
BTC$77,213▼ 0.39%
ETH$2,116▼ 0.78%
SOL$85.65▲ 0.78%
HYPE$57.73▲ 15.29%
XRP$1.36▼ 0.53%
BNB$649.20▲ 0.73%
DOGE$0.1045▲ 0.50%
AVAX$9.31▲ 0.70%
LINK$9.58▼ 0.12%
TAO$278.80▲ 5.59%
ZEC$661.59▲ 13.74%
NEAR$1.76▲ 7.73%
RSS

Reference data

Base rates: how often a new token pool dies

29%

of the 673 token pools this site covered and re-measured were untradeable within 7 days — holding less than $5,000 of liquidity.

Each token is measured once at a fixed age after we covered it, and that measurement is never revised. Counted once per token, not once per article.

Tokens measured673
Untradeable by 7d197
Rate29%
Last measured08 September 2026
What this is a base rate for. These are the pools this site covered, not all new pools. Tokens are discovered through DexScreener's promotion feeds and then filtered by this site's publication thresholds, including a $5,000 minimum liquidity floor. So the sample is skewed toward tokens that paid for visibility and had a pool large enough to be worth writing about. It is not a random sample of new launches, and the true death rate across all new pools is almost certainly higher.

By age

How the same population looks at each checkpoint. A token that has not yet reached an age is absent from that row rather than counted as a survivor.

Age when measuredTokens measuredUntradeableRate
7 days67319729%
30 days48919%

By chain

Measured at 7 days. The spread between chains is the largest effect in this dataset.

ChainTokens measuredUntradeableRate
Solana29312141%
Robinhood Chain2106732%
BNB Chain11344%
Base26312%
Ethereum1218%
Hyperevm7
Pulsechain3
Arbitrum2
Polygon2
Stable2
Tron2
Ink1

By risk band

The band this site assigned when it first covered the token, against what happened afterwards. This is the model scoring itself in public: if the bands did not separate, this table is where it would show.

Risk band at coverageTokens measuredUntradeableRate
Low2000%
Moderate2092311%
Elevated41915737%
High1
Severe241771%

By pool size at coverage

Liquidity in the pool on the day we covered it, against survival at 7 days.

Liquidity when coveredTokens measuredUntradeableRate
$50k – $100k43315035%
$100k – $250k1644125%
$250k and above7668%

Method

Every token this site publishes about is re-measured on a fixed schedule. At set ages after publication — 7 days, 30 days — the pool's liquidity is recorded once and never rewritten. "Untradeable" means under $5,000, the point at which an ordinary sale moves the price more than a seller would accept.

Tokens whose checkpoint was missed — where the pipeline was not running when the age passed — are excluded from both the count and the rate, rather than counted as survivors. Follow-up articles about tokens already covered are excluded too, since they would count the same token twice and are written precisely because something happened to it.

The underlying figures are published as JSON. Free to cite; a link back is appreciated.