Pudgy Polly (POLLY) Fell 28.6% but the Pair is Just 4.0 Hours Old, the Window in Which Most Failures Occur

Volatility Event

Pudgy Polly (POLLY) traded between $0.00141 and $0.00101 over the past hour, with a turnover of approximately $301,219. This indicates a significant movement within a brief period, as the price fell by 28.6%. The trading activity reflects a high volume relative to the liquidity available, suggesting a lack of orderliness in the price action.

TA · Price in the upper half of its range · 1h -29% on $2M vol · 1h flow 60% buy / 40% sell · liquidity $127.5k · pool 4h old

What The Risk Data Shows

The pair is 4.0 hours old. Most catastrophic failures happen in the first day, and there is no trading history to assess. 24h volume is 15.7x the pool's liquidity. The same liquidity is being turned over repeatedly, which can indicate wash trading or bot activity. The overall risk band is Moderate.

Trading Conditions

In the last hour, there were 1,616 buy transactions and 1,091 sell transactions. The balance indicates a roughly even distribution of buying and selling activity.

Liquidity Context

The liquidity figure stands at $127,509, which is adequate for ordinary position sizes, though not deep. This level of liquidity implies limited capacity for larger trades without impacting the price significantly.

Why This Was Flagged

• Price moved 28.6% in one hour (threshold: 15%)
• One-hour volume of $301,219 (threshold: $25,000)
• 2,707 trades in the last hour (threshold: 100)
• $127,509 of liquidity (threshold: $50,000)
• $1,410,834 market cap (threshold: $250,000)
• Trading pair 4.0 hours old (threshold: 15 minutes)

Risk Note